MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions

Varus vs Vayne

What is Varus's win rate vs Vayne?

In Top, Varus wins 51% against Vayne across 516 observed ranked games.

Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.

By 15 minutes the median game has Varus ahead by 1,063 gold.

Varus at 15:00

Typical gap to Vayne, from 516 games that reached 15:00.

Does Varus counter Vayne?

Too close to call. Varus sits at 51% over 516 games, so neither pick counters the other here. The lane goes to whoever wins the spots below, like the gold lead at 10:00 or staying alive until 15:00, so play for those and let the pick argument go.

How to beat Vayne as Varus

When Varus is ahead in gold at 10:00, this matchup runs 57% over 351 games; behind, it drops to 37% over 165.

The spotWin rateGames
Ahead in gold at 10:0057%351
Behind in gold at 10:0037%165
First blood57%249
+kills at 10:0060%279
+CS at 10:0054%377
0 deaths at 10:0051%77

The median first death in this lane comes at 4:20; the level 6 spike lands around 5:30. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.

What does Varus build in Top?

Into Vayne specifically, Varus finishes Dusk and Dawn first most often: 51.2% over 121 games of this matchup.

The most-finished Varus core is Dusk and Dawn, Nashor's Tooth, Riftmaker: 56.0% across 1,103 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.

Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Dusk and Dawn (5,050 games).

Skill plan: Varus players max W first and take W at level 1.

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