MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Varus vs Vayne
What is Varus's win rate vs Vayne?
In ADC, Varus wins 48% against Vayne across 1,789 observed ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Varus ahead by 600 gold.
Varus at 15:00
- Gold: +600
- CS: +12
- XP: +319
Typical gap to Vayne, from 1,781 games that reached 15:00.
Does Varus counter Vayne?
Too close to call. Varus sits at 48% over 1,789 games, so neither pick counters the other here. The lane goes to whoever wins the spots below, like the gold lead at 10:00 or staying alive until 15:00, so play for those and let the pick argument go.
How to beat Vayne as Varus
When Varus is ahead in gold at 10:00, this matchup runs 56% over 1,099 games; behind, it drops to 36% over 690.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 56% | 1,099 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 36% | 690 |
| First blood | 52% | 912 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 59% | 826 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 52% | 1,193 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 58% | 353 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 65% | 125 |
The median first death in this lane comes at 4:52; the level 6 spike lands around 7:34. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.
What does Varus build in ADC?
Into Vayne specifically, Varus finishes Statikk Shiv first most often: 54.0% over 272 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Statikk Shiv, Guinsoo's Rageblade, Terminus: 62.7% across 110 games.
The most-finished Varus core is Statikk Shiv, Guinsoo's Rageblade, Terminus: 52.3% across 4,612 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Youmuu's Ghostblade (10,588 games).
Skill plan: Varus players max Q first and take E at level 1.