MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Thresh vs Nautilus
Thresh vs Nautilus in Support: who wins more often?
Across 10,322 ranked games in Support, Thresh beats Nautilus in 52% of them.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Thresh ahead by 45 gold.
Thresh at 15:00
- Gold: +45
- CS: +1
- XP: +115
Typical gap to Nautilus, from 10,248 games that reached 15:00.
Does Thresh counter Nautilus?
On the count, yes. Thresh takes 52% of 10,322 ranked Support games against Nautilus. Protect the edge: the rows below show what Thresh wins with a gold lead at 10:00, and how far it drops from behind, so trade for that lead early and do not give it back.
Your Thresh game plan against Nautilus
With a gold lead at 10:00, Thresh wins 60% of 5,223 games in this matchup. Behind at the same mark, the rate drops to 43% over 5,089.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 60% | 5,223 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 43% | 5,089 |
| First blood | 58% | 3,082 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 56% | 3,279 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 49% | 5,133 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 65% | 1,686 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 76% | 625 |
In the median game here, the first death comes near 3:53 and level 6 lands around 8:46. Until your spike is online, treat the all-in window with respect.
Thresh in Support: the items that actually get built
Into Nautilus specifically, Thresh finishes Locket of the Iron Solari first most often: 51.6% over 3,786 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Locket of the Iron Solari, Zeke's Convergence, Knight's Vow: 62.6% across 139 games.
The most-finished Thresh core is Locket of the Iron Solari, Zeke's Convergence, Knight's Vow: 58.2% across 2,529 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Health Potion + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Locket of the Iron Solari (64,807 games).
Skill plan: Thresh players max Q first and take Q at level 1.