MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Nautilus vs Thresh
How often does Nautilus beat Thresh in Support?
Nautilus into Thresh in Support: 49% observed win rate across 10,322 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Nautilus behind by 45 gold.
Nautilus at 15:00
- Gold: -45
- CS: -1
- XP: -114
Typical gap to Thresh, from 10,248 games that reached 15:00.
Does Nautilus counter Thresh?
The count says no. Thresh holds 52% of 10,322 ranked Support games here. The lane is still winnable. Nautilus wins it back from the spots below, so learn which ones swing it before you lock in Nautilus against Thresh, and play for those first.
Beating Thresh: the Nautilus game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Nautilus at 57% across 5,089 games. Flip the lead and Nautilus falls to 40% across 5,223.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 57% | 5,089 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 40% | 5,223 |
| First blood | 56% | 3,043 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 54% | 3,324 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 45% | 4,498 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 58% | 1,290 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 70% | 369 |
Someone usually dies here around 3:51 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 8:56. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Nautilus's Support build, with receipts
Into Thresh specifically, Nautilus finishes Locket of the Iron Solari first most often: 48.1% over 3,485 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Locket of the Iron Solari, Bandlepipes, Knight's Vow: 63.9% across 122 games.
The most-finished Nautilus core is Locket of the Iron Solari, Bandlepipes, Knight's Vow: 59.4% across 1,852 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Health Potion + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Locket of the Iron Solari (47,992 games).
Skill plan: Nautilus players max Q first and take Q at level 1.