MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Smolder vs Vayne
What is Smolder's win rate vs Vayne?
In Top, Smolder wins 46% against Vayne across 118 observed ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Smolder ahead by 84 gold.
Smolder at 15:00
- Gold: +84
- CS: +6
- XP: -82
Typical gap to Vayne, from 118 games that reached 15:00.
Does Smolder counter Vayne?
Too close to call. Smolder sits at 46% over 118 games, so neither pick counters the other here. The lane goes to whoever wins the spots below, like the gold lead at 10:00 or staying alive until 15:00, so play for those and let the pick argument go.
How to beat Vayne as Smolder
When Smolder is ahead in gold at 10:00, this matchup runs 59% over 56 games; behind, it drops to 34% over 62.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 59% | 56 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 34% | 62 |
| First blood | 52% | 42 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 54% | 70 |
The median first death in this lane comes at 4:27; the level 6 spike lands around 5:45. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.
What does Smolder build in Top?
Into Vayne specifically, Smolder finishes Essence Reaver first most often: 35.4% over 48 games of this matchup.
The most-finished Smolder core is Essence Reaver, Spear of Shojin, Rapid Firecannon: 54.9% across 357 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Essence Reaver (2,629 games).
Skill plan: Smolder players max Q first and take Q at level 1.