MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions
Nautilus vs Alistar
In Support, Nautilus wins 46% against Alistar across 2,836 observed ranked games. This is an observed win rate shown with its sample size, not a prediction or a guaranteed counter.
By 15 minutes the median game has Nautilus ahead by 118 gold.
Does Nautilus counter Alistar?
No. This one runs the other way: Alistar takes 54% of 2,836 ranked Support games, and the gap clears the noise band.
How to beat Alistar as Nautilus
Turn the early game into gold: 300 up at 10:00 runs this matchup at 52% over 1,679 games; 300 behind drops it to 37% over 1,154.
The median first death in this lane comes at 5:05; the level 6 spike lands around 8:46. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.