MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Alistar vs Nautilus
How often does Alistar beat Nautilus in Support?
Alistar into Nautilus in Support: 52% observed win rate across 4,105 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Alistar behind by 131 gold.
Alistar at 15:00
- Gold: -131
- CS: -2
- XP: -75
Typical gap to Nautilus, from 4,090 games that reached 15:00.
Does Alistar counter Nautilus?
The count says yes: across 4,105 ranked Support games into Nautilus, Alistar takes 52%. That edge is worth playing for. Check the rows below to see how much a gold lead at 10:00 adds, and what a bad start costs Alistar.
Beating Nautilus: the Alistar game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Alistar at 61% across 1,676 games. Flip the lead and Alistar falls to 46% across 2,426.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 61% | 1,676 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 46% | 2,426 |
| First blood | 61% | 886 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 55% | 894 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 50% | 1,581 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 66% | 568 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 75% | 203 |
Someone usually dies here around 4:07 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 9:06. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Alistar's Support build, with receipts
Into Nautilus specifically, Alistar finishes Locket of the Iron Solari first most often: 51.9% over 983 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Locket of the Iron Solari, Zeke's Convergence, Knight's Vow: 60.0% across 45 games.
The most-finished Alistar core is Locket of the Iron Solari, Zeke's Convergence, Knight's Vow: 62.0% across 711 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Health Potion + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Locket of the Iron Solari (13,952 games).
Skill plan: Alistar players max Q first and take W at level 1.