MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions
Alistar vs Nautilus
In Support, Alistar wins 54% against Nautilus across 2,836 observed ranked games. This is an observed win rate shown with its sample size, not a prediction or a guaranteed counter.
By 15 minutes the median game has Alistar behind by 118 gold.
Does Alistar counter Nautilus?
Yes by the numbers. Alistar wins 54% of 2,836 ranked Support games into Nautilus, and the gap clears the noise band on this sample.
How to beat Nautilus as Alistar
Turn the early game into gold: 300 up at 10:00 runs this matchup at 63% over 1,154 games; 300 behind drops it to 48% over 1,679.
The median first death in this lane comes at 4:09; the level 6 spike lands around 9:06. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.