MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Zed vs Nocturne
Zed vs Nocturne in Jungle: who wins more often?
Across 1,560 ranked games in Jungle, Zed beats Nocturne in 47% of them.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Zed ahead by 265 gold.
Zed at 15:00
- Gold: +265
- CS: +1
- XP: +82
Typical gap to Nocturne, from 1,550 games that reached 15:00.
Does Zed counter Nocturne?
Not this time. Nocturne wins 53% of the 1,560 ranked Jungle games counted here. Zed players still take it back in the right spots, and the rows below show which ones are worth playing for in lane, so pick your fights around them instead of trading even.
Your Zed game plan against Nocturne
With a gold lead at 10:00, Zed wins 55% of 935 games in this matchup. Behind at the same mark, the rate drops to 35% over 621.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 55% | 935 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 35% | 621 |
| First blood | 52% | 1,021 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 56% | 663 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 53% | 811 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 57% | 438 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 73% | 170 |
In the median game here, the first death comes near 7:06 and level 6 lands around 6:53. Until your spike is online, treat the all-in window with respect.
Zed in Jungle: the items that actually get built
Into Nocturne specifically, Zed finishes Voltaic Cyclosword first most often: 44.2% over 294 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Voltaic Cyclosword, Axiom Arc, Serylda's Grudge: 39.2% across 51 games.
The most-finished Zed core is Voltaic Cyclosword, Axiom Arc, Serylda's Grudge: 51.3% across 1,411 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Scorchclaw Pup + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Voltaic Cyclosword (9,255 games).
Skill plan: Zed players max Q first and take Q at level 1.