MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Nocturne vs Zed
How often does Nocturne beat Zed in Jungle?
Nocturne into Zed in Jungle: 53% observed win rate across 1,560 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Nocturne behind by 264 gold.
Nocturne at 15:00
- Gold: -264
- CS: -1
- XP: -81
Typical gap to Zed, from 1,550 games that reached 15:00.
Does Nocturne counter Zed?
The count says yes: across 1,560 ranked Jungle games into Zed, Nocturne takes 53%. That edge is worth playing for. Check the rows below to see how much a gold lead at 10:00 adds, and what a bad start costs Nocturne.
Beating Zed: the Nocturne game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Nocturne at 65% across 621 games. Flip the lead and Nocturne falls to 45% across 935.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 65% | 621 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 45% | 935 |
| First blood | 57% | 1,084 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 63% | 581 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 60% | 699 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 64% | 573 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 73% | 263 |
Someone usually dies here around 7:49 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 6:55. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Nocturne's Jungle build, with receipts
Into Zed specifically, Nocturne finishes Experimental Hexplate first most often: 53.2% over 372 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Experimental Hexplate, Stridebreaker, Black Cleaver: 54.3% across 70 games.
The most-finished Nocturne core is Experimental Hexplate, Stridebreaker, Black Cleaver: 55.2% across 4,609 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Scorchclaw Pup + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Experimental Hexplate (21,998 games).
Skill plan: Nocturne players max Q first and take Q at level 1.