MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Vayne vs Sivir
How often does Vayne beat Sivir in ADC?
Vayne into Sivir in ADC: 53% observed win rate across 2,550 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Vayne behind by 176 gold.
Vayne at 15:00
- Gold: -176
- CS: -10
- XP: -126
Typical gap to Sivir, from 2,535 games that reached 15:00.
Does Vayne counter Sivir?
The count says yes: across 2,550 ranked ADC games into Sivir, Vayne takes 53%. That edge is worth playing for. Check the rows below to see how much a gold lead at 10:00 adds, and what a bad start costs Vayne.
Beating Sivir: the Vayne game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Vayne at 64% across 1,125 games. Flip the lead and Vayne falls to 43% across 1,424.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 64% | 1,125 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 43% | 1,424 |
| First blood | 56% | 1,356 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 62% | 1,100 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 63% | 830 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 61% | 612 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 69% | 246 |
Someone usually dies here around 5:15 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:45. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Vayne's ADC build, with receipts
Into Sivir specifically, Vayne finishes Blade of The Ruined King first most often: 54.4% over 469 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Blade of The Ruined King, Guinsoo's Rageblade, Terminus: 59.2% across 184 games.
The most-finished Vayne core is Blade of The Ruined King, Guinsoo's Rageblade, Terminus: 56.2% across 7,087 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Blade of The Ruined King (20,168 games).
Skill plan: Vayne players max Q first and take Q at level 1.