MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Varus vs Olaf
How often does Varus beat Olaf in Top?
Varus into Olaf in Top: 45% observed win rate across 273 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Varus behind by 812 gold.
Varus at 15:00
- Gold: -812
- CS: -4
- XP: -885
Typical gap to Olaf, from 272 games that reached 15:00.
Does Varus counter Olaf?
No counter here: Varus sits at 45% over 273 games. The swing lives in the spots below, so play the side you know better and chase the row that moves the number the most in this lane, then hold that lead through the first back.
Beating Olaf: the Varus game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Varus at 53% across 99 games. Flip the lead and Varus falls to 41% across 174.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 53% | 99 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 41% | 174 |
| First blood | 52% | 93 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 57% | 82 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 50% | 139 |
Someone usually dies here around 3:05 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 5:45. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Varus's Top build, with receipts
Into Olaf specifically, Varus finishes Dusk and Dawn first most often: 50.0% over 74 games of this matchup.
The most-finished Varus core is Dusk and Dawn, Nashor's Tooth, Riftmaker: 56.0% across 1,103 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Dusk and Dawn (5,050 games).
Skill plan: Varus players max W first and take W at level 1.