MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Olaf vs Varus
What is Olaf's win rate vs Varus?
In Top, Olaf wins 55% against Varus across 273 observed ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Olaf ahead by 812 gold.
Olaf at 15:00
- Gold: +812
- CS: +4
- XP: +886
Typical gap to Varus, from 272 games that reached 15:00.
Does Olaf counter Varus?
Too close to call. Olaf sits at 55% over 273 games, so neither pick counters the other here. The lane goes to whoever wins the spots below, like the gold lead at 10:00 or staying alive until 15:00, so play for those and let the pick argument go.
How to beat Varus as Olaf
When Olaf is ahead in gold at 10:00, this matchup runs 59% over 174 games; behind, it drops to 48% over 99.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 59% | 174 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 48% | 99 |
| First blood | 60% | 168 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 60% | 158 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 60% | 128 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 65% | 60 |
The median first death in this lane comes at 4:52; the level 6 spike lands around 5:38. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.
What does Olaf build in Top?
Into Varus specifically, Olaf finishes Stridebreaker first most often: 59.3% over 118 games of this matchup.
The most-finished Olaf core is Stridebreaker, Experimental Hexplate, Death's Dance: 59.0% across 1,051 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Stridebreaker (6,864 games).
Skill plan: Olaf players max Q first and take Q at level 1.