MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Varus vs Nilah
How often does Varus beat Nilah in ADC?
Varus into Nilah in ADC: 44% observed win rate across 454 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Varus ahead by 83 gold.
Varus at 15:00
- Gold: +83
- CS: +6
- XP: -331
Typical gap to Nilah, from 453 games that reached 15:00.
Does Varus counter Nilah?
The count says no. Nilah holds 56% of 454 ranked ADC games here. The lane is still winnable. Varus wins it back from the spots below, so learn which ones swing it before you lock in Varus against Nilah, and play for those first.
Beating Nilah: the Varus game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Varus at 56% across 235 games. Flip the lead and Varus falls to 32% across 219.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 56% | 235 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 32% | 219 |
| First blood | 52% | 237 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 53% | 180 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 52% | 276 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 60% | 88 |
Someone usually dies here around 4:46 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:29. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Varus's ADC build, with receipts
Into Nilah specifically, Varus finishes Youmuu's Ghostblade first most often: 46.5% over 71 games of this matchup.
The most-finished Varus core is Statikk Shiv, Guinsoo's Rageblade, Terminus: 52.3% across 4,612 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Youmuu's Ghostblade (10,588 games).
Skill plan: Varus players max Q first and take E at level 1.