MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Smolder vs Sett
How often does Smolder beat Sett in Top?
Smolder into Sett in Top: 45% observed win rate across 231 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Smolder behind by 383 gold.
Smolder at 15:00
- Gold: -383
- CS: +7
- XP: -534
Typical gap to Sett, from 230 games that reached 15:00.
Does Smolder counter Sett?
No counter here: Smolder sits at 45% over 231 games. The swing lives in the spots below, so play the side you know better and chase the row that moves the number the most in this lane, then hold that lead through the first back.
Beating Sett: the Smolder game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Smolder at 51% across 93 games. Flip the lead and Smolder falls to 41% across 138.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 51% | 93 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 41% | 138 |
| First blood | 45% | 60 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 49% | 124 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 44% | 41 |
Someone usually dies here around 5:38 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 5:36. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Smolder's Top build, with receipts
Into Sett specifically, Smolder finishes Essence Reaver first most often: 45.3% over 86 games of this matchup.
The most-finished Smolder core is Essence Reaver, Spear of Shojin, Rapid Firecannon: 54.9% across 357 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Essence Reaver (2,629 games).
Skill plan: Smolder players max Q first and take Q at level 1.