MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Sett vs Smolder
What is Sett's win rate vs Smolder?
In Top, Sett wins 55% against Smolder across 231 observed ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Sett ahead by 384 gold.
Sett at 15:00
- Gold: +384
- CS: -6
- XP: +535
Typical gap to Smolder, from 230 games that reached 15:00.
Does Sett counter Smolder?
Too close to call. Sett sits at 55% over 231 games, so neither pick counters the other here. The lane goes to whoever wins the spots below, like the gold lead at 10:00 or staying alive until 15:00, so play for those and let the pick argument go.
How to beat Smolder as Sett
When Sett is ahead in gold at 10:00, this matchup runs 59% over 138 games; behind, it drops to 50% over 93.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 59% | 138 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 50% | 93 |
| First blood | 54% | 141 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 56% | 126 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 61% | 98 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 57% | 88 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 75% | 40 |
The median first death in this lane comes at 7:17; the level 6 spike lands around 5:30. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.
What does Sett build in Top?
Into Smolder specifically, Sett finishes Stridebreaker first most often: 54.3% over 92 games of this matchup.
The most-finished Sett core is Stridebreaker, Overlord's Bloodmail, Sterak's Gage: 57.9% across 4,188 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Stridebreaker (30,321 games).
Skill plan: Sett players max Q first and take E at level 1.