MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Sivir vs Lucian
How often does Sivir beat Lucian in ADC?
Sivir into Lucian in ADC: 48% observed win rate across 3,708 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Sivir behind by 317 gold.
Sivir at 15:00
- Gold: -317
- CS: -2
- XP: -137
Typical gap to Lucian, from 3,690 games that reached 15:00.
Does Sivir counter Lucian?
The count says no. Lucian holds 52% of 3,708 ranked ADC games here. The lane is still winnable. Sivir wins it back from the spots below, so learn which ones swing it before you lock in Sivir against Lucian, and play for those first.
Beating Lucian: the Sivir game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Sivir at 60% across 1,559 games. Flip the lead and Sivir falls to 40% across 2,149.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 60% | 1,559 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 40% | 2,149 |
| First blood | 56% | 1,692 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 62% | 1,031 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 56% | 1,757 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 57% | 862 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 65% | 310 |
Someone usually dies here around 5:15 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:39. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Sivir's ADC build, with receipts
Into Lucian specifically, Sivir finishes Essence Reaver first most often: 46.9% over 1,271 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Essence Reaver, Navori Flickerblade, Infinity Edge: 52.2% across 603 games.
The most-finished Sivir core is Essence Reaver, Navori Flickerblade, Infinity Edge: 55.7% across 13,089 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Essence Reaver (26,046 games).
Skill plan: Sivir players max Q first and take W at level 1.