MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Lucian vs Sivir
What is Lucian's win rate vs Sivir?
In ADC, Lucian wins 52% against Sivir across 3,708 observed ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Lucian ahead by 318 gold.
Lucian at 15:00
- Gold: +318
- CS: +2
- XP: +137
Typical gap to Sivir, from 3,690 games that reached 15:00.
Does Lucian counter Sivir?
Yes. Lucian wins 52% of 3,708 ranked ADC games into Sivir. That is a real edge in this lane, so play for it. The 10:00 rows below show how often Lucian closes the game out from a lead, and how often Sivir claws it back.
How to beat Sivir as Lucian
When Lucian is ahead in gold at 10:00, this matchup runs 60% over 2,149 games; behind, it drops to 41% over 1,559.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 60% | 2,149 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 41% | 1,559 |
| First blood | 57% | 2,232 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 59% | 1,894 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 59% | 1,848 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 60% | 969 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 71% | 373 |
The median first death in this lane comes at 5:22; the level 6 spike lands around 7:38. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.
What does Lucian build in ADC?
Into Sivir specifically, Lucian finishes Essence Reaver first most often: 53.1% over 1,523 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Essence Reaver, Navori Flickerblade, Infinity Edge: 56.7% across 638 games.
The most-finished Lucian core is Essence Reaver, Navori Flickerblade, Infinity Edge: 54.5% across 23,217 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Essence Reaver (56,607 games).
Skill plan: Lucian players max Q first and take Q at level 1.