MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Samira vs Lucian
How often does Samira beat Lucian in ADC?
Samira into Lucian in ADC: 52% observed win rate across 3,560 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Samira ahead by 43 gold.
Samira at 15:00
- Gold: +43
- CS: -4
- XP: -44
Typical gap to Lucian, from 3,538 games that reached 15:00.
Does Samira counter Lucian?
The count says yes: across 3,560 ranked ADC games into Lucian, Samira takes 52%. That edge is worth playing for. Check the rows below to see how much a gold lead at 10:00 adds, and what a bad start costs Samira.
Beating Lucian: the Samira game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Samira at 65% across 1,848 games. Flip the lead and Samira falls to 38% across 1,711.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 65% | 1,848 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 38% | 1,711 |
| First blood | 60% | 1,912 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 66% | 1,534 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 63% | 1,528 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 63% | 534 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 76% | 142 |
Someone usually dies here around 4:32 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:39. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Samira's ADC build, with receipts
Into Lucian specifically, Samira finishes The Collector first most often: 52.5% over 1,808 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is The Collector, Infinity Edge, Lord Dominik's Regards: 60.4% across 671 games.
The most-finished Samira core is The Collector, Infinity Edge, Lord Dominik's Regards: 57.6% across 12,717 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually The Collector (32,715 games).
Skill plan: Samira players max Q first and take Q at level 1.