MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Lucian vs Samira
What is Lucian's win rate vs Samira?
In ADC, Lucian wins 48% against Samira across 3,560 observed ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Lucian behind by 43 gold.
Lucian at 15:00
- Gold: -43
- CS: +4
- XP: +45
Typical gap to Samira, from 3,538 games that reached 15:00.
Does Lucian counter Samira?
No, it runs the other way. Samira takes 52% of 3,560 ranked ADC games. Lucian can still win it. The rows below show the spots that flip it, so plan your first recall and your trades around them, and play the lane for one of those spots rather than for kills.
How to beat Samira as Lucian
When Lucian is ahead in gold at 10:00, this matchup runs 62% over 1,711 games; behind, it drops to 36% over 1,848.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 62% | 1,711 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 36% | 1,848 |
| First blood | 55% | 2,054 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 62% | 1,462 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 57% | 1,945 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 63% | 587 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 77% | 184 |
The median first death in this lane comes at 4:25; the level 6 spike lands around 7:39. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.
What does Lucian build in ADC?
Into Samira specifically, Lucian finishes Essence Reaver first most often: 47.7% over 1,610 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Essence Reaver, Navori Flickerblade, Infinity Edge: 54.0% across 654 games.
The most-finished Lucian core is Essence Reaver, Navori Flickerblade, Infinity Edge: 54.5% across 23,217 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Essence Reaver (56,607 games).
Skill plan: Lucian players max Q first and take Q at level 1.