MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Olaf vs Vayne
What is Olaf's win rate vs Vayne?
In Top, Olaf wins 47% against Vayne across 400 observed ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Olaf ahead by 299 gold.
Olaf at 15:00
- Gold: +299
- CS: -5
- XP: +218
Typical gap to Vayne, from 397 games that reached 15:00.
Does Olaf counter Vayne?
Too close to call. Olaf sits at 47% over 400 games, so neither pick counters the other here. The lane goes to whoever wins the spots below, like the gold lead at 10:00 or staying alive until 15:00, so play for those and let the pick argument go.
How to beat Vayne as Olaf
When Olaf is ahead in gold at 10:00, this matchup runs 54% over 223 games; behind, it drops to 38% over 177.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 54% | 223 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 38% | 177 |
| First blood | 51% | 224 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 53% | 203 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 53% | 165 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 49% | 89 |
The median first death in this lane comes at 5:13; the level 6 spike lands around 5:34. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.
What does Olaf build in Top?
Into Vayne specifically, Olaf finishes Stridebreaker first most often: 48.7% over 150 games of this matchup.
The most-finished Olaf core is Stridebreaker, Experimental Hexplate, Death's Dance: 59.0% across 1,051 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Stridebreaker (6,864 games).
Skill plan: Olaf players max Q first and take Q at level 1.