MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Olaf vs Gragas
How often does Olaf beat Gragas in Top?
Olaf into Gragas in Top: 51% observed win rate across 404 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Olaf ahead by 272 gold.
Olaf at 15:00
- Gold: +272
- CS: +7
- XP: -21
Typical gap to Gragas, from 402 games that reached 15:00.
Does Olaf counter Gragas?
No counter here: Olaf sits at 51% over 404 games. The swing lives in the spots below, so play the side you know better and chase the row that moves the number the most in this lane, then hold that lead through the first back.
Beating Gragas: the Olaf game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Olaf at 58% across 233 games. Flip the lead and Olaf falls to 41% across 171.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 58% | 233 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 41% | 171 |
| First blood | 55% | 189 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 58% | 172 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 56% | 258 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 64% | 61 |
Someone usually dies here around 4:28 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 5:37. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Olaf's Top build, with receipts
Into Gragas specifically, Olaf finishes Stridebreaker first most often: 48.7% over 78 games of this matchup.
The most-finished Olaf core is Stridebreaker, Experimental Hexplate, Death's Dance: 59.0% across 1,051 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Stridebreaker (6,864 games).
Skill plan: Olaf players max Q first and take Q at level 1.