MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions
Olaf vs Gragas
In Top, Olaf wins 50% against Gragas across 278 observed ranked games. This is an observed win rate shown with its sample size, not a prediction or a guaranteed counter.
By 15 minutes the median game has Olaf ahead by 161 gold.
Does Olaf counter Gragas?
The numbers call it close: 50% for Olaf over 278 games, inside the noise band. Pick the side you play better.
How to beat Gragas as Olaf
Turn the early game into gold: 300 up at 10:00 runs this matchup at 56% over 151 games; 300 behind drops it to 43% over 127.
The median first death in this lane comes at 4:25; the level 6 spike lands around 5:41. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.