MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Gragas vs Olaf
What is Gragas's win rate vs Olaf?
In Top, Gragas wins 50% against Olaf across 404 observed ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Gragas behind by 271 gold.
Gragas at 15:00
- Gold: -271
- CS: -7
- XP: +21
Typical gap to Olaf, from 402 games that reached 15:00.
Does Gragas counter Olaf?
Too close to call. Gragas sits at 50% over 404 games, so neither pick counters the other here. The lane goes to whoever wins the spots below, like the gold lead at 10:00 or staying alive until 15:00, so play for those and let the pick argument go.
How to beat Olaf as Gragas
When Gragas is ahead in gold at 10:00, this matchup runs 59% over 171 games; behind, it drops to 43% over 233.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 59% | 171 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 43% | 233 |
| First blood | 54% | 181 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 60% | 149 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 60% | 140 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 58% | 76 |
The median first death in this lane comes at 5:33; the level 6 spike lands around 5:34. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.
What does Gragas build in Top?
Into Olaf specifically, Gragas finishes Hextech Rocketbelt first most often: 56.2% over 73 games of this matchup.
The most-finished Gragas core is Rod of Ages, Winter's Approach, Cosmic Drive: 52.7% across 763 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Ring + Health Potion + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Hextech Rocketbelt (6,382 games).
Skill plan: Gragas players max Q first and take Q at level 1.