MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions
Nocturne vs Lillia
In Jungle, Nocturne wins 49% against Lillia across 962 observed ranked games. This is an observed win rate shown with its sample size, not a prediction or a guaranteed counter.
By 15 minutes the median game has Nocturne ahead by 36 gold.
Does Nocturne counter Lillia?
The numbers call it close: 49% for Nocturne over 962 games, inside the noise band. Pick the side you play better.
How to beat Lillia as Nocturne
Turn the early game into gold: 300 up at 10:00 runs this matchup at 56% over 529 games; 300 behind drops it to 41% over 433.
The median first death in this lane comes at 7:45; the level 6 spike lands around 6:54. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.