MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions

Lillia vs Nocturne

How often does Lillia beat Nocturne in Jungle?

Lillia into Nocturne in Jungle: 51% observed win rate across 1,512 ranked games.

Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.

By 15 minutes the median game has Lillia ahead by 17 gold.

Lillia at 15:00

Typical gap to Nocturne, from 1,504 games that reached 15:00.

Does Lillia counter Nocturne?

No counter here: Lillia sits at 51% over 1,512 games. The swing lives in the spots below, so play the side you know better and chase the row that moves the number the most in this lane, then hold that lead through the first back.

Beating Nocturne: the Lillia game plan

A gold lead at 10:00 puts Lillia at 59% across 696 games. Flip the lead and Lillia falls to 43% across 814.

The spotWin rateGames
Ahead in gold at 10:0059%696
Behind in gold at 10:0043%814
First blood56%878
+kills at 10:0061%466
+CS at 10:0058%826
0 deaths at 10:0060%538
0 deaths at 15:0071%255

Someone usually dies here around 7:17 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 6:55. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.

Lillia's Jungle build, with receipts

Into Nocturne specifically, Lillia finishes Liandry's Torment first most often: 53.0% over 636 games of this matchup.

The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Liandry's Torment, Riftmaker, Zhonya's Hourglass: 58.9% across 192 games.

The most-finished Lillia core is Liandry's Torment, Riftmaker, Zhonya's Hourglass: 55.6% across 5,132 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.

Most games start Gustwalker Hatchling + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Liandry's Torment (17,760 games).

Skill plan: Lillia players max Q first and take Q at level 1.

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