MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Nocturne vs Gwen
Nocturne vs Gwen in Jungle: who wins more often?
Across 726 ranked games in Jungle, Nocturne beats Gwen in 46% of them.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Nocturne ahead by 53 gold.
Nocturne at 15:00
- Gold: +53
- CS: -4
- XP: -94
Typical gap to Gwen, from 723 games that reached 15:00.
Does Nocturne counter Gwen?
Not this time. Gwen wins 54% of the 726 ranked Jungle games counted here. Nocturne players still take it back in the right spots, and the rows below show which ones are worth playing for in lane, so pick your fights around them instead of trading even.
Your Nocturne game plan against Gwen
With a gold lead at 10:00, Nocturne wins 53% of 437 games in this matchup. Behind at the same mark, the rate drops to 34% over 289.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 53% | 437 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 34% | 289 |
| First blood | 50% | 512 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 51% | 343 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 54% | 339 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 54% | 290 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 63% | 130 |
In the median game here, the first death comes near 8:25 and level 6 lands around 6:53. Until your spike is online, treat the all-in window with respect.
Nocturne in Jungle: the items that actually get built
Into Gwen specifically, Nocturne finishes Experimental Hexplate first most often: 42.9% over 154 games of this matchup.
The most-finished Nocturne core is Experimental Hexplate, Stridebreaker, Black Cleaver: 55.2% across 4,609 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Scorchclaw Pup + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Experimental Hexplate (21,998 games).
Skill plan: Nocturne players max Q first and take Q at level 1.