MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Gwen vs Nocturne
How often does Gwen beat Nocturne in Jungle?
Gwen into Nocturne in Jungle: 54% observed win rate across 726 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Gwen behind by 53 gold.
Gwen at 15:00
- Gold: -53
- CS: +4
- XP: +94
Typical gap to Nocturne, from 723 games that reached 15:00.
Does Gwen counter Nocturne?
The count says yes: across 726 ranked Jungle games into Nocturne, Gwen takes 54%. That edge is worth playing for. Check the rows below to see how much a gold lead at 10:00 adds, and what a bad start costs Gwen.
Beating Nocturne: the Gwen game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Gwen at 66% across 289 games. Flip the lead and Gwen falls to 47% across 437.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 66% | 289 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 47% | 437 |
| First blood | 60% | 406 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 63% | 193 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 62% | 365 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 65% | 262 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 73% | 111 |
Someone usually dies here around 7:12 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 6:58. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Gwen's Jungle build, with receipts
Into Nocturne specifically, Gwen finishes Dusk and Dawn first most often: 47.3% over 239 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Dusk and Dawn, Nashor's Tooth, Riftmaker: 57.1% across 42 games.
The most-finished Gwen core is Dusk and Dawn, Nashor's Tooth, Riftmaker: 57.7% across 1,927 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Gustwalker Hatchling; the first finished item is usually Dusk and Dawn (8,804 games).
Skill plan: Gwen players max Q first and take Q at level 1.