MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Nocturne vs Elise
Nocturne vs Elise in Jungle: who wins more often?
Across 960 ranked games in Jungle, Nocturne beats Elise in 56% of them.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Nocturne ahead by 186 gold.
Nocturne at 15:00
- Gold: +186
- CS: +12
- XP: +361
Typical gap to Elise, from 957 games that reached 15:00.
Does Nocturne counter Elise?
On the count, yes. Nocturne takes 56% of 960 ranked Jungle games against Elise. Protect the edge: the rows below show what Nocturne wins with a gold lead at 10:00, and how far it drops from behind, so trade for that lead early and do not give it back.
Your Nocturne game plan against Elise
With a gold lead at 10:00, Nocturne wins 68% of 504 games in this matchup. Behind at the same mark, the rate drops to 43% over 456.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 68% | 504 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 43% | 456 |
| First blood | 61% | 577 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 69% | 334 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 59% | 690 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 63% | 299 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 72% | 141 |
In the median game here, the first death comes near 6:48 and level 6 lands around 6:58. Until your spike is online, treat the all-in window with respect.
Nocturne in Jungle: the items that actually get built
Into Elise specifically, Nocturne finishes Experimental Hexplate first most often: 53.8% over 225 games of this matchup.
The most-finished Nocturne core is Experimental Hexplate, Stridebreaker, Black Cleaver: 55.2% across 4,609 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Scorchclaw Pup + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Experimental Hexplate (21,998 games).
Skill plan: Nocturne players max Q first and take Q at level 1.