MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions

Elise vs Nocturne

In Jungle, Elise wins 46% against Nocturne across 655 observed ranked games. This is an observed win rate shown with its sample size, not a prediction or a guaranteed counter.

By 15 minutes the median game has Elise behind by 127 gold.

Does Elise counter Nocturne?

No. This one runs the other way: Nocturne takes 54% of 655 ranked Jungle games, and the gap clears the noise band.

How to beat Nocturne as Elise

Turn the early game into gold: 300 up at 10:00 runs this matchup at 57% over 333 games; 300 behind drops it to 35% over 322.

The median first death in this lane comes at 6:48; the level 6 spike lands around 7:35. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.