MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Nilah vs Caitlyn
How often does Nilah beat Caitlyn in ADC?
Nilah into Caitlyn in ADC: 52% observed win rate across 1,367 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Nilah behind by 52 gold.
Nilah at 15:00
- Gold: -52
- CS: -12
- XP: +448
Typical gap to Caitlyn, from 1,362 games that reached 15:00.
Does Nilah counter Caitlyn?
No counter here: Nilah sits at 52% over 1,367 games. The swing lives in the spots below, so play the side you know better and chase the row that moves the number the most in this lane, then hold that lead through the first back.
Beating Caitlyn: the Nilah game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Nilah at 66% across 631 games. Flip the lead and Nilah falls to 41% across 736.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 66% | 631 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 41% | 736 |
| First blood | 61% | 738 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 65% | 610 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 70% | 358 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 62% | 324 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 64% | 111 |
Someone usually dies here around 5:16 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 6:48. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Nilah's ADC build, with receipts
Into Caitlyn specifically, Nilah finishes The Collector first most often: 53.6% over 545 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is The Collector, Infinity Edge, Lord Dominik's Regards: 61.4% across 207 games.
The most-finished Nilah core is The Collector, Infinity Edge, Lord Dominik's Regards: 61.7% across 3,111 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually The Collector (9,214 games).
Skill plan: Nilah players max Q first and take Q at level 1.