MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions
Nilah vs Caitlyn
In ADC, Nilah wins 52% against Caitlyn across 911 observed ranked games. This is an observed win rate shown with its sample size, not a prediction or a guaranteed counter.
By 15 minutes the median game has Nilah behind by 89 gold.
Does Nilah counter Caitlyn?
The numbers call it close: 52% for Nilah over 911 games, inside the noise band. Pick the side you play better.
How to beat Caitlyn as Nilah
Turn the early game into gold: 300 up at 10:00 runs this matchup at 66% over 420 games; 300 behind drops it to 40% over 491.
The median first death in this lane comes at 5:23; the level 6 spike lands around 6:48. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.