MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Caitlyn vs Nilah
What is Caitlyn's win rate vs Nilah?
In ADC, Caitlyn wins 48% against Nilah across 1,367 observed ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Caitlyn ahead by 53 gold.
Caitlyn at 15:00
- Gold: +53
- CS: +12
- XP: -447
Typical gap to Nilah, from 1,362 games that reached 15:00.
Does Caitlyn counter Nilah?
Too close to call. Caitlyn sits at 48% over 1,367 games, so neither pick counters the other here. The lane goes to whoever wins the spots below, like the gold lead at 10:00 or staying alive until 15:00, so play for those and let the pick argument go.
How to beat Nilah as Caitlyn
When Caitlyn is ahead in gold at 10:00, this matchup runs 59% over 736 games; behind, it drops to 34% over 631.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 59% | 736 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 34% | 631 |
| First blood | 55% | 643 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 62% | 464 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 54% | 983 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 66% | 251 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 75% | 84 |
The median first death in this lane comes at 4:43; the level 6 spike lands around 7:21. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.
What does Caitlyn build in ADC?
Into Nilah specifically, Caitlyn finishes The Collector first most often: 46.4% over 293 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is The Collector, Infinity Edge, Lord Dominik's Regards: 53.9% across 89 games.
The most-finished Caitlyn core is The Collector, Infinity Edge, Lord Dominik's Regards: 54.3% across 14,626 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Hexoptics C44 (47,375 games).
Skill plan: Caitlyn players max Q first and take Q at level 1.