MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions
Lucian vs Kog'Maw
How often does Lucian beat Kog'Maw in ADC?
Lucian into Kog'Maw in ADC: 47% observed win rate across 1,110 ranked games. Counted from real matches, and every number here shows its sample size.
By 15 minutes the median game has Lucian ahead by 312 gold.
Does Lucian counter Kog'Maw?
The count says no. Kog'Maw holds 53% of 1,110 ranked ADC games here, and that gap clears the noise band. The matchup still gets won from {{champion}}'s side — the conditional rates on this page show where, each with its own game count.
Beating Kog'Maw: the Lucian game plan
A 300-gold lead at 10:00 puts Lucian at 55% across 620 games. Flip the lead and Lucian falls to 37% across 489.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 300 gold up at 10:00 | 55% | 620 |
| 300 gold down at 10:00 | 37% | 489 |
| First blood | 51% | 684 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 55% | 529 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 52% | 618 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 54% | 194 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 65% | 68 |
Someone usually dies here around 4:30 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:42. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Lucian's ADC build, with receipts
Into Kog'Maw specifically, Lucian finishes Essence Reaver first most often: 47.2% over 447 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Essence Reaver, Navori Flickerblade, Infinity Edge: 53.0% across 185 games.
The most-finished Lucian core is Essence Reaver, Navori Flickerblade, Infinity Edge: 54.5% across 23,217 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 16.1-16.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Essence Reaver (56,607 games).
Skill plan: Lucian players max Q first and take Q at level 1.