MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions
Kog'Maw vs Lucian
What is Kog'Maw's win rate vs Lucian?
In ADC, Kog'Maw wins 53% against Lucian across 1,110 observed ranked games. This is an observed win rate shown with its sample size, not a prediction or a guaranteed counter.
By 15 minutes the median game has Kog'Maw behind by 312 gold.
Does Kog'Maw counter Lucian?
Yes by the numbers. Kog'Maw wins 53% of 1,110 ranked ADC games into Lucian, and the gap clears the noise band on this sample. The same games read from Lucian's side give the mirror number, and every rate on this page carries its own game count.
How to beat Lucian as Kog'Maw
When Kog'Maw is 300 gold up at 10:00, this matchup runs 63% over 489 games; 300 down, it drops to 45% over 620.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 300 gold up at 10:00 | 63% | 489 |
| 300 gold down at 10:00 | 45% | 620 |
| First blood | 58% | 407 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 62% | 375 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 58% | 465 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 60% | 129 |
The median first death in this lane comes at 3:47; the level 6 spike lands around 7:42. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.
What does Kog'Maw build in ADC?
Into Lucian specifically, Kog'Maw finishes Guinsoo's Rageblade first most often: 57.9% over 259 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Blade of The Ruined King, Guinsoo's Rageblade, Runaan's Hurricane: 57.3% across 75 games.
The most-finished Kog'Maw core is Blade of The Ruined King, Guinsoo's Rageblade, Runaan's Hurricane: 55.8% across 1,775 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 16.1-16.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Guinsoo's Rageblade (4,901 games).
Skill plan: Kog'Maw players max W first and take W at level 1.