MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions

Kog'Maw vs Aphelios

How often does Kog'Maw beat Aphelios in ADC?

Kog'Maw into Aphelios in ADC: 53% observed win rate across 912 ranked games. Counted from real matches, and every number here shows its sample size.

By 15 minutes the median game has Kog'Maw ahead by 58 gold.

Does Kog'Maw counter Aphelios?

Too close for a counter call: Kog'Maw sits at 53% over 912 games, inside the noise band. On this sample neither pick counters the other — the swing lives in the conditions below, so play the side you know better.

Beating Aphelios: the Kog'Maw game plan

A 300-gold lead at 10:00 puts Kog'Maw at 64% across 453 games. Flip the lead and Kog'Maw falls to 42% across 458.

The spotWin rateGames
300 gold up at 10:0064%453
300 gold down at 10:0042%458
First blood59%408
+kills at 10:0062%391
+CS at 10:0062%399
0 deaths at 10:0061%155
0 deaths at 15:0064%56

Someone usually dies here around 4:36 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:39. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.

Kog'Maw's ADC build, with receipts

Into Aphelios specifically, Kog'Maw finishes Guinsoo's Rageblade first most often: 57.1% over 189 games of this matchup.

The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Blade of The Ruined King, Guinsoo's Rageblade, Runaan's Hurricane: 42.4% across 59 games.

The most-finished Kog'Maw core is Blade of The Ruined King, Guinsoo's Rageblade, Runaan's Hurricane: 55.8% across 1,775 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 16.1-16.12.

Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Guinsoo's Rageblade (4,901 games).

Skill plan: Kog'Maw players max W first and take W at level 1.