MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Aphelios vs Caitlyn
What is Aphelios's win rate vs Caitlyn?
In ADC, Aphelios wins 50% against Caitlyn across 7,948 observed ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Aphelios behind by 265 gold.
Aphelios at 15:00
- Gold: -265
- CS: -7
- XP: -134
Typical gap to Caitlyn, from 7,909 games that reached 15:00.
Does Aphelios counter Caitlyn?
Too close to call. Aphelios sits at 50% over 7,948 games, so neither pick counters the other here. The lane goes to whoever wins the spots below, like the gold lead at 10:00 or staying alive until 15:00, so play for those and let the pick argument go.
How to beat Caitlyn as Aphelios
When Aphelios is ahead in gold at 10:00, this matchup runs 63% over 3,413 games; behind, it drops to 41% over 4,529.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 63% | 3,413 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 41% | 4,529 |
| First blood | 58% | 3,985 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 62% | 2,905 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 61% | 2,753 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 60% | 1,891 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 67% | 662 |
The median first death in this lane comes at 5:51; the level 6 spike lands around 7:31. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.
What does Aphelios build in ADC?
Into Caitlyn specifically, Aphelios finishes The Collector first most often: 47.8% over 1,941 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is The Collector, Infinity Edge, Lord Dominik's Regards: 54.3% across 658 games.
The most-finished Aphelios core is The Collector, Infinity Edge, Lord Dominik's Regards: 56.4% across 7,206 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually The Collector (22,181 games).
Skill plan: Aphelios players max Q first and take Q at level 1.