MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions
Katarina vs Caitlyn
How often does Katarina beat Caitlyn in ADC?
Katarina into Caitlyn in ADC: 59% observed win rate across 488 ranked games. Counted from real matches, and every number here shows its sample size.
By 15 minutes the median game has Katarina ahead by 235 gold.
Does Katarina counter Caitlyn?
The numbers say yes: across 488 ranked ADC games into Caitlyn, Katarina takes 59% — past the noise band for this sample. Read from Caitlyn's side, the same games give the mirror rate, and every number here shows the games behind it.
Beating Caitlyn: the Katarina game plan
A 300-gold lead at 10:00 puts Katarina at 68% across 245 games. Flip the lead and Katarina falls to 51% across 243.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 300 gold up at 10:00 | 68% | 245 |
| 300 gold down at 10:00 | 51% | 243 |
| First blood | 62% | 311 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 66% | 285 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 71% | 89 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 64% | 83 |
Someone usually dies here around 5:06 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:37. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Katarina's ADC build, with receipts
Into Caitlyn specifically, Katarina finishes Kraken Slayer first most often: 59.6% over 292 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Kraken Slayer, Blade of The Ruined King, Terminus: 63.5% across 170 games.
The most-finished Katarina core is Kraken Slayer, Blade of The Ruined King, Terminus: 58.6% across 1,885 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 16.1-16.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Kraken Slayer (3,813 games).
Skill plan: Katarina players max Q first and take Q at level 1.