MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions
Caitlyn vs Katarina
What is Caitlyn's win rate vs Katarina?
In ADC, Caitlyn wins 41% against Katarina across 488 observed ranked games. This is an observed win rate shown with its sample size, not a prediction or a guaranteed counter.
By 15 minutes the median game has Caitlyn behind by 235 gold.
Does Caitlyn counter Katarina?
No. This one runs the other way: Katarina takes 59% of 488 ranked ADC games, and the gap clears the noise band. {{champion}} players still win it — the conditional rates on this page show which spots flip it, each with its own game count.
How to beat Katarina as Caitlyn
When Caitlyn is 300 gold up at 10:00, this matchup runs 49% over 243 games; 300 down, it drops to 32% over 245.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 300 gold up at 10:00 | 49% | 243 |
| 300 gold down at 10:00 | 32% | 245 |
| First blood | 50% | 203 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 51% | 131 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 44% | 388 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 64% | 45 |
The median first death in this lane comes at 3:27; the level 6 spike lands around 7:19. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.
What does Caitlyn build in ADC?
Into Katarina specifically, Caitlyn finishes Hexoptics C44 first most often: 41.2% over 160 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Hexoptics C44, Infinity Edge, Lord Dominik's Regards: 49.0% across 51 games.
The most-finished Caitlyn core is The Collector, Infinity Edge, Lord Dominik's Regards: 54.3% across 14,626 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 16.1-16.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Hexoptics C44 (47,375 games).
Skill plan: Caitlyn players max Q first and take Q at level 1.