MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Caitlyn vs Katarina
What is Caitlyn's win rate vs Katarina?
In ADC, Caitlyn wins 41% against Katarina across 488 observed ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Caitlyn behind by 235 gold.
Caitlyn at 15:00
- Gold: -235
- CS: +17
- XP: -45
Typical gap to Katarina, from 485 games that reached 15:00.
Does Caitlyn counter Katarina?
No, it runs the other way. Katarina takes 59% of 488 ranked ADC games. Caitlyn can still win it. The rows below show the spots that flip it, so plan your first recall and your trades around them, and play the lane for one of those spots rather than for kills.
How to beat Katarina as Caitlyn
When Caitlyn is ahead in gold at 10:00, this matchup runs 49% over 243 games; behind, it drops to 32% over 245.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 49% | 243 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 32% | 245 |
| First blood | 50% | 203 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 51% | 131 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 44% | 388 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 64% | 45 |
The median first death in this lane comes at 3:27; the level 6 spike lands around 7:19. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.
What does Caitlyn build in ADC?
Into Katarina specifically, Caitlyn finishes Hexoptics C44 first most often: 41.2% over 160 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Hexoptics C44, Infinity Edge, Lord Dominik's Regards: 49.0% across 51 games.
The most-finished Caitlyn core is The Collector, Infinity Edge, Lord Dominik's Regards: 54.3% across 14,626 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Hexoptics C44 (47,375 games).
Skill plan: Caitlyn players max Q first and take Q at level 1.