MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions
Karthus vs Aphelios
How often does Karthus beat Aphelios in ADC?
Karthus into Aphelios in ADC: 59% observed win rate across 227 ranked games. Counted from real matches, and every number here shows its sample size.
By 15 minutes the median game has Karthus ahead by 312 gold.
Does Karthus counter Aphelios?
The numbers say yes: across 227 ranked ADC games into Aphelios, Karthus takes 59% — past the noise band for this sample. Read from Aphelios's side, the same games give the mirror rate, and every number here shows the games behind it.
Beating Aphelios: the Karthus game plan
A 300-gold lead at 10:00 puts Karthus at 71% across 130 games. Flip the lead and Karthus falls to 43% across 97.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 300 gold up at 10:00 | 71% | 130 |
| 300 gold down at 10:00 | 43% | 97 |
| First blood | 64% | 98 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 72% | 108 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 66% | 131 |
Someone usually dies here around 3:46 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:15. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Karthus's ADC build, with receipts
Into Aphelios specifically, Karthus finishes Blackfire Torch first most often: 57.3% over 117 games of this matchup.
The most-finished Karthus core is Blackfire Torch, Shadowflame, Rabadon's Deathcap: 58.3% across 949 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 16.1-16.12.
Most games start Doran's Ring + Health Potion + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Blackfire Torch (3,479 games).
Skill plan: Karthus players max Q first and take Q at level 1.