MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions

Gragas vs Nocturne

In Jungle, Gragas wins 50% against Nocturne across 143 observed ranked games. This is an observed win rate shown with its sample size, not a prediction or a guaranteed counter.

By 15 minutes the median game has Gragas behind by 129 gold.

Does Gragas counter Nocturne?

The numbers call it close: 50% for Gragas over 143 games, inside the noise band. Pick the side you play better.

How to beat Nocturne as Gragas

Turn the early game into gold: 300 up at 10:00 runs this matchup at 56% over 61 games; 300 behind drops it to 46% over 82.

The median first death in this lane comes at 7:22; the level 6 spike lands around 7:17. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.