MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Cassiopeia vs Smolder
What is Cassiopeia's win rate vs Smolder?
In ADC, Cassiopeia wins 53% against Smolder across 144 observed ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Cassiopeia ahead by 586 gold.
Cassiopeia at 15:00
- Gold: +586
- CS: +12
- XP: +423
Typical gap to Smolder, from 143 games that reached 15:00.
Does Cassiopeia counter Smolder?
Too close to call. Cassiopeia sits at 53% over 144 games, so neither pick counters the other here. The lane goes to whoever wins the spots below, like the gold lead at 10:00 or staying alive until 15:00, so play for those and let the pick argument go.
How to beat Smolder as Cassiopeia
When Cassiopeia is ahead in gold at 10:00, this matchup runs 60% over 96 games; behind, it drops to 38% over 48.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 60% | 96 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 38% | 48 |
| First blood | 56% | 86 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 59% | 85 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 61% | 102 |
The median first death in this lane comes at 5:09; the level 6 spike lands around 7:15. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.