MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Xerath vs Caitlyn
How often does Xerath beat Caitlyn in ADC?
Xerath into Caitlyn in ADC: 58% observed win rate across 643 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Xerath ahead by 335 gold.
Xerath at 15:00
- Gold: +335
- CS: -2
- XP: +562
Typical gap to Caitlyn, from 642 games that reached 15:00.
Does Xerath counter Caitlyn?
The count says yes: across 643 ranked ADC games into Caitlyn, Xerath takes 58%. That edge is worth playing for. Check the rows below to see how much a gold lead at 10:00 adds, and what a bad start costs Xerath.
Beating Caitlyn: the Xerath game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Xerath at 67% across 325 games. Flip the lead and Xerath falls to 48% across 318.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 67% | 325 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 48% | 318 |
| First blood | 64% | 373 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 67% | 278 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 68% | 214 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 63% | 232 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 68% | 118 |
Someone usually dies here around 6:54 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:07. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Xerath's ADC build, with receipts
Into Caitlyn specifically, Xerath finishes Luden's Echo first most often: 58.2% over 244 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Luden's Echo, Shadowflame, Rabadon's Deathcap: 64.3% across 56 games.
The most-finished Xerath core is Luden's Echo, Shadowflame, Rabadon's Deathcap: 55.3% across 590 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Ring + Health Potion + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Luden's Echo (2,793 games).
Skill plan: Xerath players max Q first and take Q at level 1.