MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions

Xerath vs Caitlyn

How often does Xerath beat Caitlyn in ADC?

Xerath into Caitlyn in ADC: 58% observed win rate across 643 ranked games.

Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.

By 15 minutes the median game has Xerath ahead by 335 gold.

Xerath at 15:00

Typical gap to Caitlyn, from 642 games that reached 15:00.

Does Xerath counter Caitlyn?

The count says yes: across 643 ranked ADC games into Caitlyn, Xerath takes 58%. That edge is worth playing for. Check the rows below to see how much a gold lead at 10:00 adds, and what a bad start costs Xerath.

Beating Caitlyn: the Xerath game plan

A gold lead at 10:00 puts Xerath at 67% across 325 games. Flip the lead and Xerath falls to 48% across 318.

The spotWin rateGames
Ahead in gold at 10:0067%325
Behind in gold at 10:0048%318
First blood64%373
+kills at 10:0067%278
+CS at 10:0068%214
0 deaths at 10:0063%232
0 deaths at 15:0068%118

Someone usually dies here around 6:54 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:07. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.

Xerath's ADC build, with receipts

Into Caitlyn specifically, Xerath finishes Luden's Echo first most often: 58.2% over 244 games of this matchup.

The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Luden's Echo, Shadowflame, Rabadon's Deathcap: 64.3% across 56 games.

The most-finished Xerath core is Luden's Echo, Shadowflame, Rabadon's Deathcap: 55.3% across 590 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.

Most games start Doran's Ring + Health Potion + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Luden's Echo (2,793 games).

Skill plan: Xerath players max Q first and take Q at level 1.

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