MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Swain vs Caitlyn
How often does Swain beat Caitlyn in ADC?
Swain into Caitlyn in ADC: 57% observed win rate across 1,362 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Swain ahead by 125 gold.
Swain at 15:00
- Gold: +125
- CS: -5
- XP: +308
Typical gap to Caitlyn, from 1,354 games that reached 15:00.
Does Swain counter Caitlyn?
The count says yes: across 1,362 ranked ADC games into Caitlyn, Swain takes 57%. That edge is worth playing for. Check the rows below to see how much a gold lead at 10:00 adds, and what a bad start costs Swain.
Beating Caitlyn: the Swain game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Swain at 65% across 673 games. Flip the lead and Swain falls to 48% across 689.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 65% | 673 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 48% | 689 |
| First blood | 62% | 798 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 65% | 622 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 66% | 423 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 62% | 414 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 72% | 180 |
Someone usually dies here around 6:16 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:19. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Swain's ADC build, with receipts
Into Caitlyn specifically, Swain finishes Malignance first most often: 57.7% over 508 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Malignance, Rylai's Crystal Scepter, Zhonya's Hourglass: 56.1% across 148 games.
The most-finished Swain core is Malignance, Rylai's Crystal Scepter, Zhonya's Hourglass: 56.6% across 1,988 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Ring + Health Potion + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Malignance (6,391 games).
Skill plan: Swain players max Q first and take E at level 1.