MacroMind matchup data — real ranked games, not opinions
Smolder vs Locke
What is Smolder's win rate vs Locke?
In Mid, Smolder wins 34% against Locke across 41 observed ranked games. This is an observed win rate shown with its sample size, not a prediction or a guaranteed counter.
By 15 minutes the median game has Smolder behind by 1,224 gold.
Does Smolder counter Locke?
No. This one runs the other way: Locke takes 66% of 41 ranked Mid games, and the gap clears the noise band. {{champion}} players still win it — the conditional rates on this page show which spots flip it, each with its own game count.
How to beat Locke as Smolder
The median first death in this lane comes at 3:06; the level 6 spike lands around 5:48. Respect the all-in window until your spike is online.
What does Smolder build in Mid?
The most-finished Smolder core is Essence Reaver, Spear of Shojin, Rapid Firecannon: 51.5% across 1,128 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 16.1-16.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Essence Reaver (6,293 games).
Skill plan: Smolder players max Q first and take Q at level 1.