MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Smolder vs Katarina
How often does Smolder beat Katarina in ADC?
Smolder into Katarina in ADC: 45% observed win rate across 309 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Smolder behind by 672 gold.
Smolder at 15:00
- Gold: -672
- CS: +5
- XP: -146
Typical gap to Katarina, from 307 games that reached 15:00.
Does Smolder counter Katarina?
No counter here: Smolder sits at 45% over 309 games. The swing lives in the spots below, so play the side you know better and chase the row that moves the number the most in this lane, then hold that lead through the first back.
Beating Katarina: the Smolder game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Smolder at 59% across 118 games. Flip the lead and Smolder falls to 37% across 191.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 59% | 118 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 37% | 191 |
| First blood | 55% | 134 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 59% | 75 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 52% | 182 |
Someone usually dies here around 3:54 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:32. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Smolder's ADC build, with receipts
Into Katarina specifically, Smolder finishes Essence Reaver first most often: 45.2% over 197 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Essence Reaver, Black Cleaver, Spear of Shojin: 48.4% across 62 games.
The most-finished Smolder core is Essence Reaver, Black Cleaver, Spear of Shojin: 58.1% across 14,752 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Essence Reaver (68,290 games).
Skill plan: Smolder players max Q first and take Q at level 1.