MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Smolder vs Ezreal
How often does Smolder beat Ezreal in ADC?
Smolder into Ezreal in ADC: 54% observed win rate across 10,706 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Smolder behind by 550 gold.
Smolder at 15:00
- Gold: -550
- CS: -9
- XP: -237
Typical gap to Ezreal, from 10,657 games that reached 15:00.
Does Smolder counter Ezreal?
The count says yes: across 10,706 ranked ADC games into Ezreal, Smolder takes 54%. That edge is worth playing for. Check the rows below to see how much a gold lead at 10:00 adds, and what a bad start costs Smolder.
Beating Ezreal: the Smolder game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Smolder at 67% across 3,424 games. Flip the lead and Smolder falls to 48% across 7,276.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 67% | 3,424 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 48% | 7,276 |
| First blood | 61% | 4,806 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 67% | 2,842 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 64% | 3,116 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 63% | 2,236 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 71% | 847 |
Someone usually dies here around 5:17 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:37. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Smolder's ADC build, with receipts
Into Ezreal specifically, Smolder finishes Essence Reaver first most often: 54.5% over 5,043 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Essence Reaver, Black Cleaver, Spear of Shojin: 62.6% across 1,139 games.
The most-finished Smolder core is Essence Reaver, Black Cleaver, Spear of Shojin: 58.1% across 14,752 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Essence Reaver (68,290 games).
Skill plan: Smolder players max Q first and take Q at level 1.