MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions

Smolder vs Aurelion Sol

How often does Smolder beat Aurelion Sol in ADC?

Smolder into Aurelion Sol in ADC: 48% observed win rate across 453 ranked games.

Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.

By 15 minutes the median game has Smolder ahead by 203 gold.

Smolder at 15:00

Typical gap to Aurelion Sol, from 451 games that reached 15:00.

Does Smolder counter Aurelion Sol?

No counter here: Smolder sits at 48% over 453 games. The swing lives in the spots below, so play the side you know better and chase the row that moves the number the most in this lane, then hold that lead through the first back.

Beating Aurelion Sol: the Smolder game plan

A gold lead at 10:00 puts Smolder at 54% across 258 games. Flip the lead and Smolder falls to 41% across 195.

The spotWin rateGames
Ahead in gold at 10:0054%258
Behind in gold at 10:0041%195
First blood53%262
+kills at 10:0054%179
+CS at 10:0053%236
0 deaths at 10:0058%156
0 deaths at 15:0069%61

Someone usually dies here around 7:14 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 7:18. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.

Smolder's ADC build, with receipts

Into Aurelion Sol specifically, Smolder finishes Essence Reaver first most often: 48.4% over 225 games of this matchup.

The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Essence Reaver, Black Cleaver, Spear of Shojin: 55.2% across 58 games.

The most-finished Smolder core is Essence Reaver, Black Cleaver, Spear of Shojin: 58.1% across 14,752 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.

Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Essence Reaver (68,290 games).

Skill plan: Smolder players max Q first and take Q at level 1.

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