MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Poppy vs Olaf
How often does Poppy beat Olaf in Top?
Poppy into Olaf in Top: 50% observed win rate across 190 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Poppy behind by 354 gold.
Poppy at 15:00
- Gold: -354
- CS: -10
- XP: -32
Typical gap to Olaf, from 188 games that reached 15:00.
Does Poppy counter Olaf?
No counter here: Poppy sits at 50% over 190 games. The swing lives in the spots below, so play the side you know better and chase the row that moves the number the most in this lane, then hold that lead through the first back.
Beating Olaf: the Poppy game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Poppy at 61% across 82 games. Flip the lead and Poppy falls to 42% across 108.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 61% | 82 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 42% | 108 |
| First blood | 54% | 87 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 61% | 76 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 54% | 67 |
Someone usually dies here around 3:55 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 5:43. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Poppy's Top build, with receipts
Into Olaf specifically, Poppy finishes Sundered Sky first most often: 56.0% over 50 games of this matchup.
The most-finished Poppy core is Sundered Sky, Winter's Approach, Thornmail: 59.5% across 380 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Shield + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Sundered Sky (4,500 games).
Skill plan: Poppy players max Q first and take Q at level 1.