MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Olaf vs Cassiopeia
How often does Olaf beat Cassiopeia in Top?
Olaf into Cassiopeia in Top: 60% observed win rate across 126 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Olaf ahead by 453 gold.
Olaf at 15:00
- Gold: +453
- CS: -4
- XP: +576
Typical gap to Cassiopeia, from 125 games that reached 15:00.
Does Olaf counter Cassiopeia?
The count says yes: across 126 ranked Top games into Cassiopeia, Olaf takes 60%. That edge is worth playing for. Check the rows below to see how much a gold lead at 10:00 adds, and what a bad start costs Olaf.
Beating Cassiopeia: the Olaf game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Olaf at 77% across 66 games. Flip the lead and Olaf falls to 42% across 60.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 77% | 66 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 42% | 60 |
| First blood | 69% | 68 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 77% | 57 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 76% | 49 |
Someone usually dies here around 4:22 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 5:44. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Olaf's Top build, with receipts
The most-finished Olaf core is Stridebreaker, Experimental Hexplate, Death's Dance: 59.0% across 1,051 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Doran's Blade + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Stridebreaker (6,864 games).
Skill plan: Olaf players max Q first and take Q at level 1.