MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Nocturne vs Xin Zhao
How often does Nocturne beat Xin Zhao in Jungle?
Nocturne into Xin Zhao in Jungle: 51% observed win rate across 2,349 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Nocturne ahead by 313 gold.
Nocturne at 15:00
- Gold: +313
- CS: +7
- XP: +265
Typical gap to Xin Zhao, from 2,339 games that reached 15:00.
Does Nocturne counter Xin Zhao?
No counter here: Nocturne sits at 51% over 2,349 games. The swing lives in the spots below, so play the side you know better and chase the row that moves the number the most in this lane, then hold that lead through the first back.
Beating Xin Zhao: the Nocturne game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Nocturne at 59% across 1,438 games. Flip the lead and Nocturne falls to 38% across 910.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 59% | 1,438 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 38% | 910 |
| First blood | 55% | 1,575 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 60% | 1,079 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 56% | 1,518 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 61% | 779 |
| 0 deaths at 15:00 | 67% | 344 |
Someone usually dies here around 7:11 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 6:51. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Nocturne's Jungle build, with receipts
Into Xin Zhao specifically, Nocturne finishes Experimental Hexplate first most often: 51.7% over 663 games of this matchup.
The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Experimental Hexplate, Stridebreaker, Black Cleaver: 51.8% across 139 games.
The most-finished Nocturne core is Experimental Hexplate, Stridebreaker, Black Cleaver: 55.2% across 4,609 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Scorchclaw Pup + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Experimental Hexplate (21,998 games).
Skill plan: Nocturne players max Q first and take Q at level 1.