MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions
Nocturne vs Olaf
How often does Nocturne beat Olaf in Jungle?
Nocturne into Olaf in Jungle: 44% observed win rate across 201 ranked games.
Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.
By 15 minutes the median game has Nocturne behind by 242 gold.
Nocturne at 15:00
- Gold: -242
- CS: -7
- XP: -291
Typical gap to Olaf, from 200 games that reached 15:00.
Does Nocturne counter Olaf?
No counter here: Nocturne sits at 44% over 201 games. The swing lives in the spots below, so play the side you know better and chase the row that moves the number the most in this lane, then hold that lead through the first back.
Beating Olaf: the Nocturne game plan
A gold lead at 10:00 puts Nocturne at 56% across 91 games. Flip the lead and Nocturne falls to 35% across 110.
| The spot | Win rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Ahead in gold at 10:00 | 56% | 91 |
| Behind in gold at 10:00 | 35% | 110 |
| First blood | 52% | 128 |
| +kills at 10:00 | 56% | 80 |
| +CS at 10:00 | 58% | 74 |
| 0 deaths at 10:00 | 48% | 62 |
Someone usually dies here around 7:16 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 6:58. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.
Nocturne's Jungle build, with receipts
Into Olaf specifically, Nocturne finishes Experimental Hexplate first most often: 50.0% over 58 games of this matchup.
The most-finished Nocturne core is Experimental Hexplate, Stridebreaker, Black Cleaver: 55.2% across 4,609 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.
Most games start Scorchclaw Pup + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Experimental Hexplate (21,998 games).
Skill plan: Nocturne players max Q first and take Q at level 1.