MacroMind matchup data: real ranked games, not opinions

Nocturne vs Nunu & Willump

How often does Nocturne beat Nunu & Willump in Jungle?

Nocturne into Nunu & Willump in Jungle: 52% observed win rate across 966 ranked games.

Global ranked sample: games from every region and every rank pooled together, not one server's stats. Data runs through patch 26.12; curves updated 2026-08-07.

By 15 minutes the median game has Nocturne ahead by 479 gold.

Nocturne at 15:00

Typical gap to Nunu & Willump, from 965 games that reached 15:00.

Does Nocturne counter Nunu & Willump?

No counter here: Nocturne sits at 52% over 966 games. The swing lives in the spots below, so play the side you know better and chase the row that moves the number the most in this lane, then hold that lead through the first back.

Beating Nunu & Willump: the Nocturne game plan

A gold lead at 10:00 puts Nocturne at 58% across 606 games. Flip the lead and Nocturne falls to 41% across 360.

The spotWin rateGames
Ahead in gold at 10:0058%606
Behind in gold at 10:0041%360
First blood56%681
+kills at 10:0058%454
+CS at 10:0057%642
0 deaths at 10:0064%398
0 deaths at 15:0074%172

Someone usually dies here around 8:29 in the median game, and level 6 lands near 6:52. Until your spike is online, respect the all-in.

Nocturne's Jungle build, with receipts

Into Nunu & Willump specifically, Nocturne finishes Experimental Hexplate first most often: 52.9% over 225 games of this matchup.

The most-finished core in this exact matchup is Experimental Hexplate, Stridebreaker, Black Cleaver: 58.1% across 43 games.

The most-finished Nocturne core is Experimental Hexplate, Stridebreaker, Black Cleaver: 55.2% across 4,609 games when all three got done. All matchups, patches 26.1-26.12.

Most games start Scorchclaw Pup + Health Potion; the first finished item is usually Experimental Hexplate (21,998 games).

Skill plan: Nocturne players max Q first and take Q at level 1.

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